{
  "A0_B0_regression": {
    "G3_central": 1.32,
    "G3_honest": 0.9784,
    "G4_gamed_net": 0.84,
    "G4_honest_loss_pct": 0.09,
    "bar": "exact reproduction of committed v8.0 G3/G4 numbers",
    "PASS": true
  },
  "FAMILY_A": {
    "sweep": {
      "k=1.0": {
        "offline": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "margin": 0.0,
          "coverage": 1.0
        },
        "probe_no_recon": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 0,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "probe_recon_d05": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 0,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "probe_recon_d08": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 0,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "attacker_best_no_recon": 0.84,
        "attacker_best_recon_d08": 0.84,
        "recon_value_delta": 0.0
      },
      "k=0.9": {
        "offline": {
          "net": 0.831,
          "margin": 0.027,
          "coverage": 1.0
        },
        "probe_no_recon": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "probe_recon_d05": {
          "net": -1.32,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.5
        },
        "probe_recon_d08": {
          "net": -2.616,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.8
        },
        "attacker_best_no_recon": 0.84,
        "attacker_best_recon_d08": 0.831,
        "recon_value_delta": 0.009
      },
      "k=0.7": {
        "offline": {
          "net": 0.814,
          "margin": 0.077,
          "coverage": 1.0
        },
        "probe_no_recon": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "probe_recon_d05": {
          "net": -1.32,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.5
        },
        "probe_recon_d08": {
          "net": -2.616,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.8
        },
        "attacker_best_no_recon": 0.84,
        "attacker_best_recon_d08": 0.814,
        "recon_value_delta": 0.026
      },
      "k=0.5": {
        "offline": {
          "net": 0.798,
          "margin": 0.127,
          "coverage": 1.0
        },
        "probe_no_recon": {
          "net": 0.84,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.0
        },
        "probe_recon_d05": {
          "net": -1.32,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.5
        },
        "probe_recon_d08": {
          "net": -2.616,
          "probes": 30,
          "flagged_share": 0.8
        },
        "attacker_best_no_recon": 0.84,
        "attacker_best_recon_d08": 0.798,
        "recon_value_delta": 0.042
      }
    },
    "delta_at_k1": 0.0,
    "largest_k_where_recon_bites": null,
    "bar_A1": "expected delta < 0.02x at k=1.0; report largest k with delta >= 0.10x",
    "A1_EXPECTATION_HELD": true,
    "A2": {
      "localization": "cluster-level only (aggregate telemetry); no per-person intent score",
      "honest_false_flag_extra_loss_pct_per_mo": 0.0018,
      "note": "the privacy price of the recon defense, stated"
    }
  },
  "FAMILY_B": {
    "B1": {
      "sweep": {
        "q=0.6": {
          "seed7": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.05
          },
          "seed11": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.05
          }
        },
        "q=0.75": {
          "seed7": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.051
          },
          "seed11": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.051
          }
        },
        "q=0.9": {
          "seed7": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.051
          },
          "seed11": {
            "c_o": 1.051,
            "organic_share": 1.0,
            "S": 0.0,
            "p_det_mo": 0.0,
            "mix": [
              0.0,
              0.0,
              0.0,
              1.0
            ],
            "min_traj": 1.051
          }
        }
      },
      "central_c_o": {
        "7": 1.051,
        "11": 1.051
      },
      "resulting_G3_attacker_payout": {
        "7": 0.9,
        "11": 0.9
      },
      "bar": "central endogenous c_o >= 0.71 (the G3 defense holds without assuming it)",
      "PASS": true
    },
    "B2": {
      "organic_share_of_best_response": {
        "7": 1.0,
        "11": 1.0
      },
      "note": "share of the attacker's spend that is, in substance, payment for real use by real users"
    },
    "B3": {
      "q_star_detection_floor": 0.15,
      "c_o_vs_q_curve": [
        [
          0.05,
          0.39
        ],
        [
          0.125,
          0.684
        ],
        [
          0.2,
          0.861
        ],
        [
          0.275,
          1.042
        ],
        [
          0.35,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.425,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.5,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.575,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.65,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.725,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.8,
          1.05
        ],
        [
          0.875,
          1.05
        ]
      ],
      "note": "q below q_star lets the ring beat the 0.71 boundary; load-bearing detection requirement, published"
    },
    "B4": {
      "i_private_sample": {
        "7": 1.051,
        "11": 1.051
      },
      "ii_published_threshold": {
        "7": 0.306,
        "11": 0.284
      },
      "iii_ambient_profiler": {
        "7": 1.051,
        "11": 1.051
      },
      "honest_cost_pct": {
        "i_private": 0.09,
        "iii_ambient_G6_machinery": 16.8
      },
      "bar": "(i) beats (ii) on detection value; (i) within 10% of (iii) detection at >=2x lower honest cost",
      "PASS": true
    }
  }
}